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Watch Out for the 12th Five-Year Plan

The Rizhao City harbor district's layout of industry zones In some ways, China is one of the most market-driven economies ever seen. Yet the Communist Party retains the concept of the "five-year" plan that came out of the Stalin-era Soviet Union and was widely adopted in mid-20th century by developing countries. Almost everyone else has abandoned five-year plans but China is about to roll out its 12th five-year plan. In the 12th five-year plan China plans to upgrade its industry structure to include more high-tech, large-scale industry in place of the low-end small-scale manufacturers that have driven the economy over the past few decades. Official strategies for accomplishing this include developing comprehensive regional plans that will concentrate industry clusters in "advantaged" regions that take advantage of local resource availabilities and strong companies. Investment comes from foreign and domestic investors as well as publicly-funded projects. Consider...

Conservation tillage

Conservation tillage is one of the new techniques Chinese agricultural officials are encouraging farmers to use in order control soil erosion and improve productivity. In September, the Agricultural Machinery Department of Donggang District (Rizhao in eastern Shandong) held a conservation tillage meeting at Xihu Town’s Dahuaya Village to promote fall conservation tillage in the district. Donggang District began disseminating conservation tillage techniques in 2007 and after three years there are 5000 mu of model farms that influence the surrounding 20,000 mu. Demonstrating conservation tillage Techniques include no-till and minimum-tillage, utilizing organic matter from stalks, leaving corn stubble residue as a ground cover, mechanical sub-soiling, and pest control methods. By reducing the amount of ploughing and leaving residue on the surface, wind and water erosion is reduced and more moisture is retained in the soil. This helps crops during times of drought. According to the articl...

Peasants Make Way for Water Diversion

China is constructing a massive South-to-North water diversion project, a system of reservoirs and canals that will divert water from central China to the parched northern provinces. The official web site for the project is here . Since there are people living just about everywhere in China, the hardest part about these projects is moving people who are in the way and finding another place to put them. The project will begin in northern Hubei and southern Henan where some 300,000 people will be moved and resettled. This is the second-largest resettlement after the Three Gorges dam. The dam required moving over 1 million people over 14 years. This time they will move fewer people, but in a shorter time period. Above is a map of the middle route of the water diversion project begins in Hubei's Danjiangkou City, then passes through Henan and Hebei provinces to reach Beijing and Tianjin Officials in Hubei and Henan Provinces have been hard at work making preparations to move the first ...

China's farm subsidy panacea

Chinese officials see subsidies as the magic cure for all problems in agriculture. Virtually all reports by government analysts conclude with a section that usually recommends more or better subsidies. Another common theme in news media and government reports is that subsidies give American farmers their advantage, so Chinese farmers need to have subsidies too. China introduced direct farm subsidies and price supports in 2004, and since then they have multiplied in the number of subsidies offered and the amount of money. China's subsidies are now comparable to those of the United States in total spending and dollars per acre. The subsidies are basically trying to counteract market forces by paying farmers to plant grain crops that produce little income. This is becoming more difficult as the markets for land, labor, and credit improve. Labor markets for rural people are well-established and wages are rising. Even land markets are developing, despite the lack of land ownership and w...

China's Would-Be Price Makers

Like other commodity prices, edible oil and oilseed prices are rising, and Chinese officials are getting worried. An article from the Dongfang Daily newspaper reports that edible oil prices have been rising since this summer. Futures prices have reached their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis. Upward pressure has been building this month after the National Day holiday. At a Shanghai wholesale market, the price of one type of soy oil went up from 164 yuan per box to 180 yuan this month, and Jinlongyu mixed oil went from 210 yuan to 225 yuan/box. The Shanghai grain and oil industry association secretary Zhao Zhiwei said Shanghai supermarket prices for 5-liter bottles of soy oil went up about 6 yuan this month. Several factors contribute to rising edible oil prices: the rising cost of imported soybeans since July, buildup of inventories ahead of the peak season, and a general upward trend in commodity prices and inflationary expectations. Against the background of rising oil p...

Grain Industry Anti-Foreign Rhetoric Heating Up

A steady stream of articles in the Chinese press warn about multinational companies taking over Chinese agricultural markets. Even a Chinese agricultural economics journal recently contained a lead article that was a tirade against the "ABCD" companies: ADM, Bunge, Cargill, and Louis Dreyfuss. A long article from the National Enterprise magazine, "Multinational Grain Merchants Impact Business of State Enterprises," warns that increasing control by multinational companies threatens China's food security. As usual, China's soybean industry is presented as victim no. 1. The author points out that China accounted for 91% of world soybean production in 1936 , but today multinational companies control 80% of the soybean crushing capacity in China. Moreover, the article warns that multinational grain traders are spreading the scope of their operations to include upstream storage and grain processing, posing a threat to China's food security. Against this backg...

Rural Environmental Protection

The region around Poyang Lake in Jiangxi Province is the target of a high-profile "green" development project. An article in the government media promoting the project urged readers to strengthen environmental protection and reveals the massive environmental problems in rural China. The article begins by referring to a number of major environmental disasters, including the recent oil spill in Dalian, a chemical spill in the Songhua River in Jilin, and a massive fish kill in Fujian resulting from a leak from a copper smelter. Plus the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. Then the article says, we should pay attention to our own pollution problems. The author recalls his idyllic childhood in the countryside of "clean mountains, beautiful water and good air," when happy peasants could wash their clothes and dishes in nearby streams and ponds or take a quick swim after a hard day in the fields. However, the author says much of the countryside today is better described a...