Skip to main content

China Dec 2018 Soy Imports: 77% From Brazil

China relied on Brazil for 77 percent of its December 2018 soybean imports, close to Brazil's 75-percent share for calendar year 2018. China's reduced imports of U.S. soybeans during 2018 slightly exceeded its increased imports of Brazilian beans. No new suppliers filled the gap left by China's shunning of U.S. soybeans during 2018. Overall, China's imports of soybeans fell by 7.5 mmt for the calendar year.

China soybean imports, December 2018
Imported 
from:
December 2018
y-o-y change
Jan-Dec 2018
y-o-y change
1,000 metric tons
Brazil 4,386 2,444 66,082 15,156
United States 69 -6,120 16,640 -16,212
Canada 808 282 1,792 -257
Argentina 187 -453 1,464 -5,119
Uruguay 185 32 1,199 -1,373
Russia 84 -6 816 309
Kazakhstan 0 -2 17 10
Ethiopia 0 -2 18 3
Ukraine 0 184 1 166
Total 5,719 -3,827 88,029 -7,504

  • Brazil accounted for nearly 4.4 million metric tons of the 5.7 mmt of soybeans China imported during December 2018. 
  • December imports from the U.S. were just 69,000 metric tons--about one Panamax-sized cargo.
  • Canada was the second-leading supplier of China's soybean imports in December, but shipments were only 808,000 mt. 
  • Other suppliers during December were Argentina, Uruguay, and Russia.
  • December is typically the peak month for China's imports of U.S. soybeans. Compared with a year earlier, December 2018 imports of soybeans from Brazil were up 2.4 mmt and imports from the U.S. were down 6.1 mmt. 
  • Total December soybean imports of 5.7 mmt were down -3.8 mmt from a year earlier.
  • Calendar year 2018 totals show that Brazil supplied 75 percent (66 mmt of 88 mmt) of the soybeans China imported during 2018. Brazil's share was 53 percent during 2017. 
  • For the Calendar year, China's increased soybean imports from Brazil (+15.15 mmt) did not quite offset the drop in soybean imports from the U.S. (-16.2 mmt).
  • For 2018, China's imports of U.S. soybeans totaled 16.6 mmt, nearly 50-percent less than the CY2017 total. The 19-percent U.S. share of China's 2018 soybean imports was down from 34 percent in 2017.
  • China's CY2018 soybean purchases from Argentina, Uruguay, and Canada also dropped from a year earlier. 
  • China increased its soybean imports from Russia, Kazakhstan, Ethiopia, and Ukraine during 2018, but only Russia was a significant supplier. Russia supplied China with 816,000 metric tons during CY2018, up 309,000 mt from 2017.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Xi Jinping's Doctoral Thesis

Xi Jinping is the vice president and presumed next president of China but little is known about him. In this post the dimsums blog offers its contribution to the genre of Xi Jinping-ology by conveying Xi's decade-old views on agricultural markets. Ten years ago Xi Jinping wrote a thesis, "Tentative Study of Agricultural Marketization" (中国农村市场化研究) for a Doctor of Law degree at Tsinghua University in Beijing, a top breeding-ground for Chinese officials. The dimsums blogger has spent several hours poring over the 200-plus page tome to see what it reveals about Dr. Xi. The thesis is remarkably close to what China has been doing lately in agricultural policy, suggesting that Xi (or the person who actually wrote the thesis) has a major say in policy or is at least in agreement with what's being done. There is nothing adventurous, controversial (or insightful) in the thesis. It seems to be the work of a wonkish technocrat who is not prone to talk out of turn or wander from...

China's 2024 Ag Imports Shrank in Value

China's agricultural imports declined 7.9 percent during 2024 to reach $215 billion, according to data posted on the customs administration website. The 2024 value was lower than each of the 3 preceding years. Agricultural exports were up 4.1 percent to reach $103 billion. Source: Data from China Customs Administration December reports. The top two agricultural import categories by value both declined. Soybeans ($52.75 billion in 2024) fell 10.9 percent, and meat ($23.38 billion) fell 15.1 percent. Cereal grain imports ($15 billion) were down 28 percent and fish & shellfish imports ($18.5 billion) were down 6.2 percent. Edible oils imports ($10.6 billion) were down 17.8 percent. Fruit, rubber, cotton and wool and beverage imports were up for the year. The decline in value of imports partly reflected a decline in prices. Customs reported that the volume of soybean imports for calendar year 2024 reached a record 105 million metric tons, up 5.6 million metric tons from the previou...

Feed Boom & Cratering Grain Imports; China Leaves Us Guessing

In the first half of 2025 China increased its meat and egg production by a combined 1.58 million metric tons (mmt) from a year earlier, a moderate increase of 2.5%. Meanwhile, animal feed output during H1 2025 compiled from feed industry association reports increased by 14.5 mmt (+10 percent) from a year ago. China's 14.5-mmt increase feed output growth outpaced the 1.58-mmt growth in meat production by a ratio of 9:1. It's hard to make sense of these inconsistent figures.  [note: The June 2025 feed industry association report has a 7.7% yoy growth rate for feed output which is inconsistent with the 10.1% growth shown here calculated by comparing data from monthly reports issued last year. Growth rates for complete feed were 8.1%, concentrates -1.5%; additives 6.9%. These inconsistencies are common in the feed industry association reports, a reason for doubting the accuracy of this data.] There is no boom in demand for feed ingredients to fuel a huge increase in feed production...