Skip to main content

Pork Reserve Buy Scaled Back

The first round of China's pork reserve purchases have been scaled back from 100,000 metric tons to 10,000 metric tons, according to a China Feed Industry Information Network report. Stronger hog prices last week may have reduced the urgency of removing pork from the market.

According to the report, the average hog price in China increased 3.85 percent last week. The average was 12.42 yuan/kg, up from 11.96 yuan/kg the previous week. However, the average price of pork fell 0.3 percent and the ex-factory price of a swine carcass fell 1.05 percent.

The report confirmed that pork reserve purchases were due to begin March 8, but "100,000 changed to 10,0000." The 10,000 metric tons of pork translates to 143,000 hogs, the article said (assumes 70 kg of pork per animal).

The reason for scaling back purchases is not identified, but rising prices may have prompted the decision. The analysis said the volume of swine being produced is shrinking slightly, but consumers are reducing purchases of pork and the overall market supply is adequate. The analysis said farmers have become reluctant to sell hogs and prices are rising. The article said that price has become detached from basic supply and demand. Prices are expected to rise gradually, but regional imbalances remain prominent. Price declines are possible in some regions.

The feed industry report also raised concern that the conclusion of U.S.-China trade consultations could result in an agreement to import U.S. corn. The report warned that an influx of U.S. corn would put downward pressure on Chinese corn prices. 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Xi Jinping's Doctoral Thesis

Xi Jinping is the vice president and presumed next president of China but little is known about him. In this post the dimsums blog offers its contribution to the genre of Xi Jinping-ology by conveying Xi's decade-old views on agricultural markets. Ten years ago Xi Jinping wrote a thesis, "Tentative Study of Agricultural Marketization" (中国农村市场化研究) for a Doctor of Law degree at Tsinghua University in Beijing, a top breeding-ground for Chinese officials. The dimsums blogger has spent several hours poring over the 200-plus page tome to see what it reveals about Dr. Xi. The thesis is remarkably close to what China has been doing lately in agricultural policy, suggesting that Xi (or the person who actually wrote the thesis) has a major say in policy or is at least in agreement with what's being done. There is nothing adventurous, controversial (or insightful) in the thesis. It seems to be the work of a wonkish technocrat who is not prone to talk out of turn or wander from...

China's 2024 Ag Imports Shrank in Value

China's agricultural imports declined 7.9 percent during 2024 to reach $215 billion, according to data posted on the customs administration website. The 2024 value was lower than each of the 3 preceding years. Agricultural exports were up 4.1 percent to reach $103 billion. Source: Data from China Customs Administration December reports. The top two agricultural import categories by value both declined. Soybeans ($52.75 billion in 2024) fell 10.9 percent, and meat ($23.38 billion) fell 15.1 percent. Cereal grain imports ($15 billion) were down 28 percent and fish & shellfish imports ($18.5 billion) were down 6.2 percent. Edible oils imports ($10.6 billion) were down 17.8 percent. Fruit, rubber, cotton and wool and beverage imports were up for the year. The decline in value of imports partly reflected a decline in prices. Customs reported that the volume of soybean imports for calendar year 2024 reached a record 105 million metric tons, up 5.6 million metric tons from the previou...

Feed Boom & Cratering Grain Imports; China Leaves Us Guessing

In the first half of 2025 China increased its meat and egg production by a combined 1.58 million metric tons (mmt) from a year earlier, a moderate increase of 2.5%. Meanwhile, animal feed output during H1 2025 compiled from feed industry association reports increased by 14.5 mmt (+10 percent) from a year ago. China's 14.5-mmt increase feed output growth outpaced the 1.58-mmt growth in meat production by a ratio of 9:1. It's hard to make sense of these inconsistent figures.  [note: The June 2025 feed industry association report has a 7.7% yoy growth rate for feed output which is inconsistent with the 10.1% growth shown here calculated by comparing data from monthly reports issued last year. Growth rates for complete feed were 8.1%, concentrates -1.5%; additives 6.9%. These inconsistencies are common in the feed industry association reports, a reason for doubting the accuracy of this data.] There is no boom in demand for feed ingredients to fuel a huge increase in feed production...