Skip to main content

Heilongjiang Grain: Half "Policy Purchases"

According to China's Grain Bureau, "policy-type purchases" accounted for more than half of the grain purchased in Heilongjiang Province for the 2013-14 market year. Authorities have been saying for decades that they want market forces to play a greater role in allocating grain, but China seems to be once again retreating from marketization as authorities obsess over "food security".


The National Bureau of Statistics says Heilongjiang is now China's biggest grain producer, with output at 60 million metric tons (mmt) in 2013, just under 10 percent of the national total.


The Grain Bureau statistics say that a total of 60 mmt of Heilongjiang's grain had been purchased by April 2014 (that's the entire harvest--surely an overstatement since farmers still retain significant quantities for their own use). The Bureau also reports that "policy-style" purchases accounted for 33.85 mmt of grain procured, or 56 percent of Heilongjiang's total. Policy purchases doubled from the previous year.


Jilin Province produced a record corn crop, but 85.7 percent of Jilin's corn was purchased for the "temporary reserve," a total of 28.4 mmt.


This year, Chinese authorities bought record amounts of japonica rice using the "minimum price" program and corn for "temporary reserve". These are classic price support programs in which the government stands as the buyer of last resort if others will not buy farmers' grain at the specified minimum or "reserve" price.


The Grain Bureau says it opened more government purchasing points in Heilongjiang to ensure farmers could sell their grain. The province has 390 facilities for storing rice purchased at minimum price and 996 facilities for holding corn and soybeans purchased for "temporary reserves." They rented 489 privately-owned granaries to store the stockpiled grain.


The increased role of government in grain-purchasing is portrayed as providing services to farmers to prevent them from experiencing losses from "natural disaster." Local government grain depots have been organized to purchase, store, and dry grain on behalf of farmers--"three services"--to eliminate hazards of bad grain and eliminate farmers' difficulty selling grain.


The services are specifically intended to address the problem of moldy grain. Due to emergency conditions in the province, national standards for mold have been relaxed in Heilongjiang to permit grain with mold content up to 5 percent to be held in government reserves.


The resurgent government role in Heilongjiang and Jilin is especially significant since these provinces are the largest producers, experienced the most rapid growth in output, and are expected to be the main suppliers of grain to southern provinces. Heilongjiang Province statistics indicate the province has expanded its grain-planting area by 30 percent since 2004. Yet the government has to buy up half the province's grain, paid a subsidy of 140 yuan/metric ton to ship 1.6 mmt to the south, and much of the corn is moldy.


While Heilongjiang is filling its bins with moldy corn that will poison livestock, quarantine authorities have been turning away imported corn containing a variety that has been tested over and over and eaten by animals in other countries for years but can't be allowed into the Chinese market because of its supposed risk.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

China's Vanishing Soybean Self-Sufficiency Rhetoric

Chinese propagandists appear to have given up on soybean self-sufficiency now that China has gained the upper hand over the U.S. on the soybean trade war front. The barrage of Chinese articles about finding soymeal substitutes, low protein animal diets, corn-soy intercropping, etc. has quietly faded from Chinese media. China's plan to bolster soybean self-sufficiency actually failed, but Brazil's bottomless soybean supplies nevertheless enabled China to snub U.S. soybean producers during last year's trade war. Xi Jinping now is free to make offers of soybean purchases to President Trump in trade negotiations without appearing to do so from a weak position. Mission accomplished, but not in the way Chinese strategists planned. Back in 2019--at the height of the first U.S.-China trade war--China's "Number 1 Document" announced a "soybean revitalization plan" to increase self-sufficiency in soybeans. Soybeans were pronounced to have strategic significanc...

Xi Jinping's Doctoral Thesis

Xi Jinping is the vice president and presumed next president of China but little is known about him. In this post the dimsums blog offers its contribution to the genre of Xi Jinping-ology by conveying Xi's decade-old views on agricultural markets. Ten years ago Xi Jinping wrote a thesis, "Tentative Study of Agricultural Marketization" (äø­å›½å†œę‘åø‚åœŗåŒ–ē ”ē©¶) for a Doctor of Law degree at Tsinghua University in Beijing, a top breeding-ground for Chinese officials. The dimsums blogger has spent several hours poring over the 200-plus page tome to see what it reveals about Dr. Xi. The thesis is remarkably close to what China has been doing lately in agricultural policy, suggesting that Xi (or the person who actually wrote the thesis) has a major say in policy or is at least in agreement with what's being done. There is nothing adventurous, controversial (or insightful) in the thesis. It seems to be the work of a wonkish technocrat who is not prone to talk out of turn or wander from...

Divergence in U.S. & Chinese egg prices

High egg prices are a hot topic in the United States. China, in contrast, has a glut of eggs and depressed prices.  The March 14, 2025 USDA Agricultural Marketing Service weekly eggs market overview reported that U.S. egg prices continued declining during the second week of March as the supply situation improved. No significant highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks have occurred in March and U.S. egg demand is relatively light. The average U.S. wholesale price for Grade A large white eggs was $4.15 per dozen, down sharply from their February peak.  Until 2021, Chinese and U.S. wholesale egg prices had been roughly equal at about $1-to-$2 per dozen with no trend. U.S. prices fluctuated more than Chinese prices, so the U.S. price was sometimes higher, sometimes lower than the Chinese price after converting them to dollars per dozen.  Chinese prices converted using monthly exchange rate and assuming 0.6 kg per dozen. Sources: USDA and China Ministry of Agricult...