Skip to main content

Pigs Froze to Death in the Rain

The news that thousands of dead pigs are floating in Shanghai's Huangpu River is being carefully managed by Chinese officials.

The news apparently was kept bottled up while the "two meetings" were being held in Beijing. The news was first reported in the newspaper of Jiaxing on March 4, but it did not hit major news media until March 11.

The first message was that the water is still safe to drink. Now attention has turned to quelling any rumors of a pig disease epidemic.

Vice Minister of Agriculture Chen Xiao emerged from the big meetings in Beijing to give answers on the dead pigs at a press conference. He explained that it's normal for pigs to die and the best you can do is keep the mortality rate to a minimum. Chen said statistics reported to the Ministry show that the animal disease situation has been stable with only three outbreaks of foot and mouth disease. Of course, he acknowledged that some small, backward farms don't use good practices and are vulnerable to disease.

A livestock official with the Zhejiang Province Agriculture Department--the source of the dead pigs--insisted that swine fever did NOT the cause the pigs to die. He said they were mostly piglets of 10 to 20 pounds who froze to death. Their resistance was low and it was exacerbated by wet conditions.

Pigs froze to death in Zhejiang Province? A check of a weather site for Pinghu (a district of Jiaxing), which seems to be the main source of the dead pigs, the temperature was down to 7 degrees centigrade--cold but not freezing--and doesn't seem to be cold enough to cause a mass kill-off of thousands of pigs.

The Zhejiang official said the number of dead pigs in the river was consistent with normal mortality rates. He said Jiaxing has 7 million pigs. Good farms have a mortality rate of 10 percent and it can be as high as 20 percent on others.

Does that mean it's normal for thousands of dead pigs to show up in the river at once?

Or has the government's crackdown on selling meat from dead pigs pushed them from butcher shops into the rivers?

Yesterday this blog reported news from Bamboo village in Jiaxing where a local person read off numbers showing 10,000 pigs died in January and 8,300 in February. A reporter contacted the propaganda office of the Nanhu District of Jiaxing and the official there said those numbers were from inaccurate data.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Xi Jinping's Doctoral Thesis

Xi Jinping is the vice president and presumed next president of China but little is known about him. In this post the dimsums blog offers its contribution to the genre of Xi Jinping-ology by conveying Xi's decade-old views on agricultural markets. Ten years ago Xi Jinping wrote a thesis, "Tentative Study of Agricultural Marketization" (中国农村市场化研究) for a Doctor of Law degree at Tsinghua University in Beijing, a top breeding-ground for Chinese officials. The dimsums blogger has spent several hours poring over the 200-plus page tome to see what it reveals about Dr. Xi. The thesis is remarkably close to what China has been doing lately in agricultural policy, suggesting that Xi (or the person who actually wrote the thesis) has a major say in policy or is at least in agreement with what's being done. There is nothing adventurous, controversial (or insightful) in the thesis. It seems to be the work of a wonkish technocrat who is not prone to talk out of turn or wander from...

China's 2024 Ag Imports Shrank in Value

China's agricultural imports declined 7.9 percent during 2024 to reach $215 billion, according to data posted on the customs administration website. The 2024 value was lower than each of the 3 preceding years. Agricultural exports were up 4.1 percent to reach $103 billion. Source: Data from China Customs Administration December reports. The top two agricultural import categories by value both declined. Soybeans ($52.75 billion in 2024) fell 10.9 percent, and meat ($23.38 billion) fell 15.1 percent. Cereal grain imports ($15 billion) were down 28 percent and fish & shellfish imports ($18.5 billion) were down 6.2 percent. Edible oils imports ($10.6 billion) were down 17.8 percent. Fruit, rubber, cotton and wool and beverage imports were up for the year. The decline in value of imports partly reflected a decline in prices. Customs reported that the volume of soybean imports for calendar year 2024 reached a record 105 million metric tons, up 5.6 million metric tons from the previou...

Feed Boom & Cratering Grain Imports; China Leaves Us Guessing

In the first half of 2025 China increased its meat and egg production by a combined 1.58 million metric tons (mmt) from a year earlier, a moderate increase of 2.5%. Meanwhile, animal feed output during H1 2025 compiled from feed industry association reports increased by 14.5 mmt (+10 percent) from a year ago. China's 14.5-mmt increase feed output growth outpaced the 1.58-mmt growth in meat production by a ratio of 9:1. It's hard to make sense of these inconsistent figures.  [note: The June 2025 feed industry association report has a 7.7% yoy growth rate for feed output which is inconsistent with the 10.1% growth shown here calculated by comparing data from monthly reports issued last year. Growth rates for complete feed were 8.1%, concentrates -1.5%; additives 6.9%. These inconsistencies are common in the feed industry association reports, a reason for doubting the accuracy of this data.] There is no boom in demand for feed ingredients to fuel a huge increase in feed production...