Skip to main content

Grain Risk Funds Boosted

Local governments in China have a surprising degree of autonomy in finances. But as some provinces get wealthy, the financial gap between localities is widening. In particular, agricultural provinces tend to have weaker finances. As the Henans and Heilongjiangs try to keep up with the Guangdongs and Shanghais, they rack up debts and are tempted to seize more farmland to build tax-generating projects.

In agricultural policy, the Chinese government is trying to even out the fiscal burden for maintaining a national priority: "food security." Various mechanisms are being tried out to shift more of the financial responsibility for grain subsidies and other policy measures onto the rich coastal provinces. One of the recent trends in China has been to transfer revenue from the central government to the financially weaker grain-producing provinces to help them fund subsidies (using tax revenue collected mainly from rich coastal provinces). Meanwhile, the richer coastal provinces are expected to foot most of the bill for subsidies to their farmers.

In 1994, a "grain risk fund" was set up in each province with funding shared by central and local governments. The money was to be used for procuring grain and edible oils to stabilize the market. When subsidies were introduced in 2004, the funds were used to fund direct subsidies to grain farmers. This year major grain-producing provinces are no longer required to contribute to their provincial funds. On August 25, Xinhua News Service reported that the central government has transferred 4.4 billion yuan (about $675 million) to the "grain risk funds" of major grain-producing provinces.

Nationally, the grain risk funds have been increased by 8 billion yuan. In addition to the 4.4 billion yuan of central government funds recently sent to major grain-producing provinces, local governments of other provinces have been ordered to contribute 3.6 billion yuan of their own money to increase their grain risk funds. Nationally, the fund now totals 38.2 billion yuan ($5.9 billion), of which 72% is in major grain-producing provinces.

The grain risk funds finance direct subsidies to grain farmers, grain and edible oil reserves, and policy interventions to stabilize grain markets. This does not represent a major increase in subsidies (although the funds will probably allow some of the poorer provinces to increase their subsidies or actually pay subsidies that previously existed only on paper). It represents a strategy of making rich provinces bear a larger share of the burden for maintaining "food security."

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Xi Jinping's Doctoral Thesis

Xi Jinping is the vice president and presumed next president of China but little is known about him. In this post the dimsums blog offers its contribution to the genre of Xi Jinping-ology by conveying Xi's decade-old views on agricultural markets. Ten years ago Xi Jinping wrote a thesis, "Tentative Study of Agricultural Marketization" (中国农村市场化研究) for a Doctor of Law degree at Tsinghua University in Beijing, a top breeding-ground for Chinese officials. The dimsums blogger has spent several hours poring over the 200-plus page tome to see what it reveals about Dr. Xi. The thesis is remarkably close to what China has been doing lately in agricultural policy, suggesting that Xi (or the person who actually wrote the thesis) has a major say in policy or is at least in agreement with what's being done. There is nothing adventurous, controversial (or insightful) in the thesis. It seems to be the work of a wonkish technocrat who is not prone to talk out of turn or wander from...

China's 2024 Ag Imports Shrank in Value

China's agricultural imports declined 7.9 percent during 2024 to reach $215 billion, according to data posted on the customs administration website. The 2024 value was lower than each of the 3 preceding years. Agricultural exports were up 4.1 percent to reach $103 billion. Source: Data from China Customs Administration December reports. The top two agricultural import categories by value both declined. Soybeans ($52.75 billion in 2024) fell 10.9 percent, and meat ($23.38 billion) fell 15.1 percent. Cereal grain imports ($15 billion) were down 28 percent and fish & shellfish imports ($18.5 billion) were down 6.2 percent. Edible oils imports ($10.6 billion) were down 17.8 percent. Fruit, rubber, cotton and wool and beverage imports were up for the year. The decline in value of imports partly reflected a decline in prices. Customs reported that the volume of soybean imports for calendar year 2024 reached a record 105 million metric tons, up 5.6 million metric tons from the previou...

Feed Boom & Cratering Grain Imports; China Leaves Us Guessing

In the first half of 2025 China increased its meat and egg production by a combined 1.58 million metric tons (mmt) from a year earlier, a moderate increase of 2.5%. Meanwhile, animal feed output during H1 2025 compiled from feed industry association reports increased by 14.5 mmt (+10 percent) from a year ago. China's 14.5-mmt increase feed output growth outpaced the 1.58-mmt growth in meat production by a ratio of 9:1. It's hard to make sense of these inconsistent figures.  [note: The June 2025 feed industry association report has a 7.7% yoy growth rate for feed output which is inconsistent with the 10.1% growth shown here calculated by comparing data from monthly reports issued last year. Growth rates for complete feed were 8.1%, concentrates -1.5%; additives 6.9%. These inconsistencies are common in the feed industry association reports, a reason for doubting the accuracy of this data.] There is no boom in demand for feed ingredients to fuel a huge increase in feed production...