Skip to main content

How to Create "Modern" Agriculture

The “household responsibility system” (HRS) implemented in the early 1980s broke up big collective farms and leased out the land to farm families. Dividing up the land among so many families resulted in tiny farms of a couple acres each, but production took off when farmers operated their own farms and responded to economic incentives. HRS worked well for a couple of decades, but now it is becoming apparent that this kind of farm structure is not ready for the prime time of global agriculture. How do you guarantee that farmers are not using toxic pesticides, growth hormones, carcinogenic drugs, or selling dead pigs to the slaughterhouse when you’ve got so many tiny independent suppliers? How do you trace back to find the source of tainted vegetables that show up in the market? How do you guarantee large quantities of standardized potatoes to make French fries? How do you make sure everybody is vaccinating their chickens and keeping them in enclosed housing?

Chinese ag officials have decided that farming needs to be larger in scale and more vertically integrated. Trouble is, there is no land market to consolidate farms into bigger operations, most farmers can’t get loans to make big investments, and the government is afraid to let farmers sell off their land for fear that China will be “Latin Americanized” (big landlords controlling all the wealth) or “Indianized” (poor landless laborers wandering the country). WIth no assets to secure loans, most farmers are without access to capital markets. So Chinese officials are coming up with all kinds of demonstration projects to teach “modern agriculture” in the context of China’s rickety collective land ownership system.

A June 20 article announces Heilongjiang Province will invest $17.4 million in 11 pilot “modern agriculture” demonstration areas consisting of 40,000 mu (6,600 acres) each of contiguous farmland. The whole farming process will be mechanized from planting to harvest. According to the article, “It will effectively promote the province’s program to promote large-scale farm management and labor transfer, and play a leading role in modeling the new socialist countryside construction.” The equipment includes four imported large modern machines, one tractor of over 395 hp and 3 of 195 hp, as well as 3 domestically-produced 125-hp tractors. They will be equipped with advanced agricultural equipment. The demonstration area will be unified for standardized farming, “liberating” rural labor force, and raising grain production 15-20%, as well as raising farmer incomes.

Another article from June 16 describes a greenhouse-building campaign in Ningcheng County of Inner Mongolia. This program illustrates how various private and public players—higher levels of government, financial institutions, companies, and farmers—are co-opted to support government programs. The township government has “organized” 34 million yuan in funds. Some funds were transferred from the county government, some came from loans issued by the rural credit cooperative, some from investments by merchants, and some from farmers. In March last year, the county ag bureau got 3 million yuan in investment from the Changfeng Vegetable LLC to build a high-tech agricultural demonstration zone using specialized production, industrialized breeding, area management, to spread advanced technology in the whole county. The town government spent money to bring water and electricity to the zone, and gave a subsidy of 40 yuan per meter for greenhouse construction--the subsidy for a full structure was 1200 yuan.

Every day there are dozens of news articles on Chinese web sites describing various "demonstration projects."

Since farmers are hamstrung by not owning their own land, the government has to step in and arrange all the investment. They line up a company to be the intermediary between farmers and the market and to make investments. I observe a pattern of companies that have nothing to do with agriculture making agricultural investments. I’m guessing that companies do this to show their commitment to the cause in order to get some other benefit. In 2007 I visited a vegetable company in Liaoning which was set up like an extension center. The owner’s card said he ran 5 other companies that were all in the textile business. On another occasion I attended a banquet in Yunnan Province hosted by a real estate company. They handed out a brochure showing all the big projects, one of which was a futuristic agricultural technology center where farmers would come to learn about all kinds of new techniques, varieties, and breeds. In 2007 China started experimenting with opening “village banks.” All of them are run by city banks or foreign banks.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Xi Jinping's Doctoral Thesis

Xi Jinping is the vice president and presumed next president of China but little is known about him. In this post the dimsums blog offers its contribution to the genre of Xi Jinping-ology by conveying Xi's decade-old views on agricultural markets. Ten years ago Xi Jinping wrote a thesis, "Tentative Study of Agricultural Marketization" (中国农村市场化研究) for a Doctor of Law degree at Tsinghua University in Beijing, a top breeding-ground for Chinese officials. The dimsums blogger has spent several hours poring over the 200-plus page tome to see what it reveals about Dr. Xi. The thesis is remarkably close to what China has been doing lately in agricultural policy, suggesting that Xi (or the person who actually wrote the thesis) has a major say in policy or is at least in agreement with what's being done. There is nothing adventurous, controversial (or insightful) in the thesis. It seems to be the work of a wonkish technocrat who is not prone to talk out of turn or wander from...

Divergence in U.S. & Chinese egg prices

High egg prices are a hot topic in the United States. China, in contrast, has a glut of eggs and depressed prices.  The March 14, 2025 USDA Agricultural Marketing Service weekly eggs market overview reported that U.S. egg prices continued declining during the second week of March as the supply situation improved. No significant highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks have occurred in March and U.S. egg demand is relatively light. The average U.S. wholesale price for Grade A large white eggs was $4.15 per dozen, down sharply from their February peak.  Until 2021, Chinese and U.S. wholesale egg prices had been roughly equal at about $1-to-$2 per dozen with no trend. U.S. prices fluctuated more than Chinese prices, so the U.S. price was sometimes higher, sometimes lower than the Chinese price after converting them to dollars per dozen.  Chinese prices converted using monthly exchange rate and assuming 0.6 kg per dozen. Sources: USDA and China Ministry of Agricult...

China's Corn & Wheat Imports Down 97% From Last Year

China's first customs data for 2025 feature a 97-percent decline in corn and wheat imports from a year earlier. Soybean imports were up slightly by volume (but down in value), and dairy, pork, poultry, and seafood imports rebounded year-on-year. Life was less sweet in China with a 93.7% decline in sugar imports, and drinking appears to be up as wine and beer imports posted gains.   China's agricultural imports for January-February 2025 were down 14.7 percent from a year earlier. The value of farm and food goods imported for the first two months of 2025 totaled $30.7 billion, down $5.26 billion from the same period in 2024. China's exports of agricultural products during January-February totaled $15.2 billion, up $393 million from a year earlier.  Data from China Customs Administration website. As usual, soybeans were the largest component of China's agricultural imports during January-February 2025 with a value of $6.3 billion. Meat imports were valued at $4.1 billion, ...