China's corn market has flipped from tight to loose. Policymakers have been dumping old grain reserves into the market while simultaneously buying corn in the northeast to prop up prices for farmers in the biggest production region. Meanwhile, weather impacts that don't officially exist have been buffeting the corn market. Chinese corn prices had bottomed out below RMB 2000 per metric ton in late 2024 before strengthening during the first half of 2025. Chinese corn prices plummeted during the September-October 2025 harvest and soon began rising again after torrential rains ruined a significant portion of the harvest . That event was quickly memory-holed by Chinese censors, but tight supplies boosted corn prices to around RMB 2300 by March 2026. From December through February 2026 spot prices for corn were 9%-to-11% ahead of year-earlier levels. With livestock producers and industrial processors encountering headwinds and corn substitutes flowing into the market, prices began de...
Chinese leaders cloak themselves in first-world food snobbery, but underneath they are obsessed with removing humans from agriculture through mechanization, relying on the latest scientific fads to magically increase crop yields, commoditizing "food" into standardized tons, and producing food in chemistry labs and factories. China's 5-year plan for 2026-30 reveals the "modernization" obsession. At a June 2 press conference the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs explained its approach to implementing the 5-year plan by identifying a handful of industries they expect to underpin the growth of "new quality productive forces" in agriculture: AI in plant breeding new energy agricultural machinery agricultural low altitude economy (drones) agricultural biological manufacturing novel food products A June 10 meeting of the agriculture ministry's leading group on science and technology innovation prioritized biomanufacturing and artificial intelli...